StateFeud
CaliforniaCalifornia gas price46%New YorkNew York gas price46%AmericaUS average gas price62%AmericaUS median existing-home price50%AmericaUS median new-home price50%AmericaUS new home sales47%NevadaNevada house price index82%New York CityNYC billionaires lost55%West VirginiaWest Virginia population25%OregonOregon semiconductor jobs16%KentuckyKentucky distillery jobs8%AmericaUS recession22%AmericaICE removals40%AmericaHottest year on record68%AmericaUS climate goals18%AmericaEV market share47%AmericaUS measles cases29%AmericaHHS vaccine policy17%AmericaMedicaid funding restored53%AmericaCongressional pay raise49%

Housing

Every take below settles on a real market. Pick the side you believe.

HousingShare the take
“Nobody wants to live in red-state America.”
Believe itWest Virginia shrinks75%NonsenseWest Virginia grows25%
Settles on: Will West Virginia's population top 1,766,147? Believers take NO, skeptics take YES · 1,853 contracts · Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)West Virginia stands in for the argument. It's one state, and it's the market that exists.
HousingShare the take
“The housing market is about to crash.”
Believe itNew-home prices fall50%NonsensePrices hold up50%
Settles on: Will the typical new-build cost more than $395K? Believers take NO, skeptics take YES · 178 contracts · Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)Settles on the new-build median, which is noisy month to month.
Housingthin marketShare the take
“Housing will never be affordable again.”
Believe itHome prices keep climbing50%NonsensePrices cool off50%
Settles on: Will the typical US home cost more than $415K? Believers take YES, skeptics take NO · 5 contracts · Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)