Will New York City lose at least 1 billionaire this year?
Traders say 55% yes
If blue states are thriving, this is free money. Right?
The full board
| Line | Yes odds | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| At least 3 | 28% | 59,851 |
| At least 8 | 19% | 14,980 |
| At least 13 | 12% | 6,636 |
| At least 1 | 55% | 3,988 |
| At least 23 | 5% | 2,588 |
| At least 2 | 45% | 853 |
Odds are midpoints of live bid/ask on Kalshi (CFTC-regulated). Closes Dec 31, 2026.