Will there be more than 8000 measles cases in 2026?
Traders say 34% yes
This number doesn't care who you voted for.
The full board
| Line | Yes odds | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Above 5000 | 97% | 0 |
| Above 6000 | 83% | 289,000 |
| Above 7000 | 26% | 0 |
| Above 8000 | 34% | 169,732 |
| Above 9000 | 28% | 0 |
| Above 10000 | 12% | 164,687 |
Odds are midpoints of live bid/ask on Kalshi (CFTC-regulated). Closes Jan 1, 2027.