The housing market is about to crash.- half the country
Talk is cheap. There's a real, CFTC-regulated market that settles this argument with money. Traders currently give this take 50%.
You believe it
50%
New-home prices fall
On Kalshi: bet NO on “Will the typical new-build cost more than $395K?”
Take the bet ↗You think it's nonsense
50%
Prices hold up
On Kalshi: bet YES on “Will the typical new-build cost more than $395K?”
Take the bet ↗Settles on the new-build median, which is noisy month to month.