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US average gas price56%yesUS median existing-home price50%yesUS median new-home price55%yesUS new home sales44%yesNevadahouse price index82%yesNYCbillionaires lost51%yesWest Virginiapopulation26%yesOregonsemiconductor jobs16%yesKentuckydistillery jobs12%yesUS recession21%yesUS inflation47%yesHouse control 202691%yesSenate control 202667%yesICE removals43%yesHottest year on record74%yesUS climate goals18%yesEV market share44%yesUS measles cases33%yesHHS vaccine policy17%yesMedicaid funding restored50%yesCongressional pay raise49%yes

The Economy

Will 2026 inflation come in above 4%?

47% chance · 16,637 contracts

Blue side ↗

“Tariffs are pushing prices up.”

buys YES

Red side ↗

“Inflation is under control.”

buys NO

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Odds are live bid/ask midpoints on Kalshi (CFTC-regulated). StateFeud doesn’t take bets; each side sends you to the market.

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