StateFeud
CaliforniaCalifornia gas price46%New YorkNew York gas price46%AmericaUS average gas price62%AmericaUS median existing-home price50%AmericaUS median new-home price50%AmericaUS new home sales47%NevadaNevada house price index82%New York CityNYC billionaires lost55%West VirginiaWest Virginia population25%OregonOregon semiconductor jobs16%KentuckyKentucky distillery jobs8%AmericaUS recession22%AmericaICE removals40%AmericaHottest year on record68%AmericaUS climate goals18%AmericaEV market share47%AmericaUS measles cases29%AmericaHHS vaccine policy17%AmericaMedicaid funding restored53%AmericaCongressional pay raise49%

The Economy

Every take below settles on a real market. Pick the side you believe.

The EconomyShare the take
“This economy is headed for a crash.”
Believe itA recession hits22%NonsenseNo recession78%
Settles on: Will there be a recession in 2027? Believers take YES, skeptics take NO · 687,413 contracts · Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)
The EconomyShare the take
“The rich are fleeing New York.”
Believe itNYC loses billionaires55%NonsenseThey stay put45%
Settles on: Will New York City lose at least 1 billionaire this year? Believers take YES, skeptics take NO · 3,988 contracts · Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)
The EconomyShare the take
“Gas prices in blue states are out of control.”
Believe itCalifornia gas stays high46%NonsenseCalifornia gas falls54%
Settles on: Will California gas hold above $6.26? Believers take YES, skeptics take NO · 412 contracts · Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)California is the proxy. It's the blue-state gas market that trades.