Those blue-state Medicaid cuts are here to stay.- half the country
Talk is cheap. There's a real, CFTC-regulated market that settles this argument with money. Traders currently give this take 47%.
You believe it
47%
Funding stays cut
On Kalshi: bet NO on “Will the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) or the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) announce a definitive decision to lift, in whole or in part, either federal Medicaid payment deferral announced for California or Minnesota on July 21, 2026, or otherwise make any amount covered by either deferral available to the applicable state before Jan 1, 2027?”
Take the bet ↗You think it's nonsense
53%
Funding gets restored
On Kalshi: bet YES on “Will the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) or the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) announce a definitive decision to lift, in whole or in part, either federal Medicaid payment deferral announced for California or Minnesota on July 21, 2026, or otherwise make any amount covered by either deferral available to the applicable state before Jan 1, 2027?”
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