Everyone is fleeing America.- some guy on the internet

That's a lot of talk. Here's what actual money says about America, with live odds from real, regulated markets. Agree with the doomers? There's a bet for that. Think they're full of it? Take the other side. Put your money where your mouth is.

Will the US average gas price hold above $4.2?

Everyone has a take. Only some people have a position.

23,382 contracts · closes Oct 31 · Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Will the typical US home cost more than $415K?

Talk is free. This isn't.

5 contracts · closes Nov 12 · Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Will the typical new-build cost more than $395K?

Talk is free. This isn't.

178 contracts · closes Oct 27 · Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Will US new-home sales top 660,000?

Everyone has a take. Only some people have a position.

2,105 contracts · closes Oct 27 · Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Will there be a recession in 2027?

Everyone has a take. Only some people have a position.

687,564 contracts · closes Jan 31 · Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Will ICE deport more than 450,000 people in FY2026?

Talk is free. This isn't.

28,323 contracts · closes Jan 1 · Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Everyone has a take. Only some people have a position.

28,973 contracts · closes Jan 1 · Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Will the US meet its climate goals?

This number doesn't care who you voted for.

12,283 contracts · closes Dec 31 · Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Will EVs be above 30% of US car sales by 2030?

Your uncle has opinions. Traders have receipts.

15,009 contracts · closes May 1 · Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Will there be more than 8000 measles cases in 2026?

Talk is free. This isn't.

169,732 contracts · closes Jan 1 · Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Will the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS), including the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) announce an officially adopted federal childhood and adolescent immunization schedule that routinely recommends vaccines against fewer than 11 diseases before Jan 1, 2027?

Your uncle has opinions. Traders have receipts.

471 contracts · closes Jan 1 · Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Will the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) or the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) announce a definitive decision to lift, in whole or in part, either federal Medicaid payment deferral announced for California or Minnesota on July 21, 2026, or otherwise make any amount covered by either deferral available to the applicable state before Jan 1, 2027?

The comment section argues. The order book settles.

338 contracts · closes Jan 1 · Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the annual base salary of all Members of Congress increases above $174,000 before Jan 1, 2030?

Your uncle has opinions. Traders have receipts.

18 contracts · closes Jan 1 · Kalshi (CFTC-regulated)

Pick another fight